Wednesday, September 24, 2008

NFL Week 4 Picks

Just when you think things can’t get any wilder in the NFL the down and out Dolphins display a stunning upset over the long undefeated regular season Patriots, the Jaguars edge out over the Colts, the Bills make a narrow escape against Oakland, Tampa barely manages to get out of Chicago alive, and the Chargers finally turn their luck around in a firework finale that lit up their home scoreboard. And to think we’ve only finished Week 3!

So, a quick look at the number before moving on to this week’s picks. For Week 3 I finished 10-6 in my straight up picks and only managed a break even week ATS with an 8-8 finish. That will calculate my totals up to 28-19 or 28 of 47 (.596) straight up and 22-24-1 (.468) ATS. Plenty of room left here for improvement as we move into Week 4, so let’s get it started.

ALL TIMES ARE EASTERN

Open Date: Detroit Lions, Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, New York Giants, Seattle Seahawks, New England Patriots

---Picks against the spread in red---

Sunday, September 28th, 2008

Atlanta Falcons(2-1) at Carolina Panthers(2-1) 1:00PM

The Falcons have shown some impressive wins against a few unimpressive teams. That’s not to say they aren’t improving. I’m going to say the Falcons contribute to this weeks upsets.

Atlanta gets it done on the road in Carolina

(Atlanta +7)

Cleveland Browns(0-3) at Cincinnati Bengals(0-3) 1:00PM

The battle of the Undefeated completely defeated! The good news here is that one of these teams has to win…don’t they? A tie here could be painful.

Bengals defend the home turf

(Bengals -3.5)

Houston Texans(0-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars(1-2) 1:00PM

There have been some doubts revolving around the Jaguars lately and they probably aren’t as dominate as many might have first perceived. However, Tennessee and Buffalo, the two teams they have lost too, have been proving themselves to be tough teams to beat.

Jaguars even up their win/loss record

(Texans +8)

Denver Broncos(3-0) at Kansas City Chiefs(0-3) 1:00PM

Come climb aboard the Cutler Marshall connection! This Broncos offense is HOT, HOT, HOT…unfortunately, their defense is NOT, NOT, NOT!!! If the Chiefs are going to mount any kind of offense this year, a home game against this defense would be it.

Broncos offense continues to be too hot to handle

(Broncos -10)

San Francisco 49ers(2-1) at New Orleans Saints(1-2) 1:00PM

The 49ers have been showing signs of life with back-to-back wins 30+ points on the scoreboard, but the Saints aren’t strangers to the scoreboard themselves.

Saints march this one on in at home

(Saints -6)

Arizona Cardinals(2-1) at New York Jets(1-2) 1:00PM

Kurt Warner Vs Brett Favre, a battle of veterans. Both these quarterbacks have had their glory and both these quarterbacks have had their day, but neither are leading the same teams they once dominated with. What does this mean? Absolutely nothing!

Cardinals rebound from Week 2 to maintain a winning record

(Cardinals No Line)

Green Bay Packers(2-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers(2-1) 1:00PM

The Packers are coming off the loss to Dallas at home while the Buccaneers will be returning home after pulling off the overtime victory over Chicago. Both teams have a chance of walking away with this game, but I’m going to say winning momentum and home field advantage take it.

Buccaneers get it done at home

(Buccaneers -1)

Minnesota Vikings(1-2) at Tennessee Titans(3-0) 1:00PM

The Vikings finally got over the hump and finished out a game with a win. Unfortunately for them, they have to follow up that performance with a road trip in to Tennessee to face the Titans, who are looking pretty well rounded after moving past Vince Young.

Titans continue to remain undefeated

(Titans -3)

San Diego Chargers(1-2) at Oakland Raiders(1-2) 4:05PM

Regardless of their record, the Chargers are a dominate team. This may be a Divisional rivalry that the Chargers will have to face on the road, but the fire’s been lit, and I don’t think the Raiders have what it takes to extinguish it.

Chargers even up their record to .500

(Chargers No Line)

Buffalo Bills(3-0) at St. Louis Rams(0-3) 4:05PM

The Bills showed some weakness last week in their close call against Oakland…or is Oakland starting to show signs of life? Either way, St. Louis might be better off substituting in the 4-0 Timberland High School Football team. I hear that their RB Montee Ball is something else.

Bills remain among the undefeated teams

(Bills -8.5)

Washington Redskins(2-1) at Dallas Cowboys(3-0) 4:15PM

Although the Cowboys would seem to be the easy pick in this match up, a Division rivalry of this nature can never be an easy pick. Do we have an upset in the works? Or do the 3-0 Cowboys go 4-0 at home.

Cowboys avoid any surprises and finish off another win

(Redskins -11)

Sunday, Sunday Night Football

Philadelphia Eagles(2-1) at Chicago Bears(1-2) 8:15PM

While the Bears defense will look to shut down the Eagles offense, the Bears offense will hope to get something done against the Eagles defense. Fortunately for the Bears, the Steelers have already nicked up this team a bit for them.

Bears take advantage of a battered Eagles team.

(Bears No Line)

Monday, Monday Night Football

Baltimore Ravens(2-0) at Pittsburgh Steelers(2-1) 8:30PM

Although the Ravens are 2-0, they have yet to play a winning team. This match up should be a better test of their ability to compete this season, and with the possibility of Big Ben nursing an injured hand, and Willie Parker already listed out for this game, they might find some beneficial opportunity. But then again, this is in Pittsburgh, and these are the Steelers.

Steelers slug it out for the win

(Steelers No Line)

And that concludes yet another week of NFL picks. After last week’s excitement, I can only hold my breath with anticipation for the up coming week end. On second thought, holding my breath that long might not be a good idea. Are we ready for some FOOTBALL!!!

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